SkillsAdd

sundial-org/awesome-openclaw-skills

alpha-finder

Market Oracle for prediction market intelligence - Polymarket and Kalshi research, probability assessments, market sentiment analysis, and arbitrage opportunity identification.

First seen Mar 6, 2026

Installation

$ npx skills add sundial-org/awesome-openclaw-skills --skill alpha-finder
View on skills.sh ↗ GitHub repository ↗

Summary

  • Market Oracle for prediction market intelligence - Polymarket and Kalshi research, probability assessments, market sentiment analysis, and arbitrage opportunity identification.
  • Use when users want to research prediction markets, analyze betting odds, or find market inefficiencies.
  • Costs $0.03 USDC per request via x402 protocol on Base network.

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More details

Agent compatibility

Declared targets from SKILL.md / docs. Unmarked agents are not listed — the skill may still install via the CLI.

Claude Code Not declared
Cursor Not declared
Codex Not declared
GitHub Copilot Not declared
Windsurf Not declared
Gemini CLI Not declared
Cline Not declared
OpenCode Not declared

Repository health

Stars 660
License LICENSE
Default branch main
Open issues 12
Status Active

Package contents

Files included with this skill beyond the listing page.

  • skill md SKILL.md 3,517 B
  • docs SUMMARY.md 365 B

History

  1. First seen on skills.sh
  2. First recorded snapshot · 14 installs

SKILL.md

Alpha Finder (Market Oracle)

Research prediction markets and find alpha using AI-powered market intelligence across Polymarket, Kalshi, and traditional sources.

Configuration

The private key must be available via one of these methods:

Option 1: Environment variable

export X402_PRIVATE_KEY="0x..."

Option 2: Config file (Recommended)

The script checks for x402-config.json in these locations (in order):

  1. Current directory: ./x402-config.json
  2. Home directory: ~/.x402-config.json ← Recommended
  3. Working directory: $PWD/x402-config.json

Create the config file:

{
  "private_key": "0x1234567890abcdef..."
}

Example (home directory - works for any user):

echo '{"private_key": "0x..."}' > ~/.x402-config.json

Usage

Run the market research script with a query about prediction markets or events:

scripts/analyze.sh "<market query>"

The script:

  • Executes market intelligence research with payment handling
  • Costs $0.03 USDC per request (Base network)
  • Searches web, GitHub, Reddit, and X for comprehensive analysis
  • Returns AI-processed market insights and probability assessments

Examples

User: "What are the odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k?"

scripts/analyze.sh "Bitcoin 100k prediction market odds"

User: "Find arbitrage opportunities in election markets"

scripts/analyze.sh "2024 election prediction market arbitrage"

User: "Analyze Polymarket odds on AI developments"

scripts/analyze.sh "Polymarket AI development predictions"

User: "What's the market sentiment on climate policy outcomes?"

scripts/analyze.sh "climate policy prediction markets Kalshi Polymarket"

Capabilities

  • Polymarket research - Event analysis and odds tracking
  • Kalshi market analysis - Regulated prediction market insights
  • Multi-source intelligence - Searches web, GitHub, Reddit, and X
  • Probability assessments - AI-powered market sentiment analysis
  • Arbitrage identification - Spot inefficiencies across markets
  • Event research - Deep dive into specific prediction market events
  • Historical tracking - Compare current odds to historical patterns

Data Sources

The tool automatically searches across:

  • Polymarket events and odds
  • Kalshi regulated markets
  • Reddit discussions and sentiment
  • X/Twitter market commentary
  • GitHub repositories (for tech-related predictions)
  • Web sources for news and analysis

Error Handling

  • "Payment failed: Not enough USDC" → Inform user to top up Base wallet with USDC
  • "X402 private key missing" → Guide user to configure private key (see Configuration above)
  • Timeout errors → The API has a 5-minute timeout; comprehensive research may take time

Use Cases

  • Trading: Find mispriced markets and arbitrage opportunities
  • Research: Analyze market sentiment on specific events
  • Due Diligence: Verify market probabilities before betting
  • Portfolio Management: Track prediction market positions
  • News Analysis: Understand how events impact market odds