AlphaEar Predictor Skill

Overview

This skill utilizes the Kronos model (via KronosPredictorUtility) to perform time-series forecasting and adjust predictions based on news sentiment.

Capabilities

1. Forecast Market Trends

1. Forecast Market Trends

Workflow:

1. Generate Base Forecast: Use scripts/kronos_predictor.py (via KronosPredictorUtility) to generate the technical/quantitative forecast.
2. Adjust Forecast (Agentic): Use the Forecast Adjustment Prompt in references/PROMPTS.md to subjectively adjust the numbers based on latest news/logic.

Key Tools:

• KronosPredictorUtility.getbaseforecast(df, lookback, predlen, newstext): Returns List[KLinePoint].

Example Usage (Python):

from scripts.utils.kronos_predictor import KronosPredictorUtility
from scripts.utils.database_manager import DatabaseManager

db = DatabaseManager()
predictor = KronosPredictorUtility()

# Forecast
forecast = predictor.predict("600519", horizon="7d")
print(forecast)

Configuration

This skill requires the Kronos model and an embedding model.

1. Kronos Model:

- Ensure exports/models directory exists in the project root. - Place trained news projector weights (e.g., kronosnewsv1.pt) in exports/models/. - Or depend on the base model (automatically downloaded).

[!CAUTION]
Model Security: This skill loads model weights from exports/models. We use weightsonly=True and only scan for the kronosnews_*.pt pattern. Ensure you only place trusted checkpoints in this directory.

1. Environment Variables:

- EMBEDDINGMODEL: Path or name of the embedding model (default: sentence-transformers/all-MiniLM-L6-v2). - KRONOSMODEL_PATH: Optional path to override model loading.

Dependencies

• torch
• transformers
• sentence-transformers
• pandas
• numpy
• scikit-learn