SKILL.md
Risk Register Skill
This skill produces a complete risk register for a project, programme, or product. Output follows standard risk management practice with likelihood × impact scoring, RAG status, a risk heat map, and specific mitigation and contingency plans. Ready to share with a project board, steering committee, or programme office.
Required Inputs
Ask the user for these if not provided:
- Project or product name
- Project stage (discovery / delivery / launch / live / programme-level)
- Key objectives — what is the project trying to achieve?
- Known risks — anything already on the team's radar (even informal concerns count)
- Key dependencies — external vendors, teams, systems, or regulatory approvals
- Deadline or milestone sensitivity — are there hard dates that cannot move?
- Audience — who will read this? (internal team / executive steering / external board / regulator)
Output Structure
Risk Register: [Project / Product Name]
Project stage: [Discovery / Delivery / Launch / Live / Programme] Version: [1.0] Owner: [PM / Programme Manager / Risk Lead] Last reviewed: [Date] Next review: [Date — recommend weekly during delivery, monthly during discovery] Status: [Active / Archived]
1. Risk Scoring Framework
Likelihood (L)
| Score |
Label |
Definition |
| 5 |
Almost certain |
>80% probability of occurring |
| 4 |
Likely |
60–80% probability |
| 3 |
Possible |
40–60% probability |
| 2 |
Unlikely |
20–40% probability |
| 1 |
Rare |
<20% probability |
Impact (I)
| Score |
Label |
Definition |
| 5 |
Critical |
Programme failure, regulatory breach, major financial loss, safety event |
| 4 |
High |
Significant schedule delay (>4 weeks), scope reduction, reputational damage |
| 3 |
Medium |
Moderate delay (1–4 weeks), cost overrun, reduced quality |
| 2 |
Low |
Minor delay (<1 week), manageable cost increase |
| 1 |
Negligible |
Minimal impact, easily absorbed |
Risk Score = L × I
| Score |
RAG |
Action |
| 20–25 |
🔴 Critical |
Immediate escalation; active management required |
| 12–19 |
🔴 High |
Owner-assigned mitigation; weekly review |
| 8–11 |
🟡 Medium |
Mitigation planned; fortnightly review |
| 4–7 |
🟡 Low |
Monitor; monthly review |
| 1–3 |
🟢 Negligible |
Accept; review if context changes |
2. Risk Register
| ID |
Risk |
Category |
L |
I |
Score |
RAG |
Owner |
Status |
Mitigation |
Contingency |
Review date |
| R01 |
[Risk description — be specific: "Third-party API may not support required volume, causing X to fail"] |
[Schedule / Technical / Resource / Commercial / Compliance / External] |
[1–5] |
[1–5] |
[L×I] |
🔴/🟡/🟢 |
[Name] |
[Open / Mitigating / Closed] |
[What are we doing to reduce likelihood or impact?] |
[What do we do if it happens?] |
[Date] |
| R02 |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
[...] |
3. Risk Categories — Common Risks by Type
Use these to prompt risk identification. Add, remove, or customise for your project.
Schedule & Delivery
- Key milestone depends on a dependency that has not confirmed availability
- Team capacity reduced by planned or unplanned absence during critical period
- Technical complexity is underestimated — story points consistently overrun
- External approval (regulator, legal, procurement) takes longer than planned
Technical
- Integration with a third-party system not yet prototyped or agreed
- Existing technical debt makes the change harder or riskier than estimated
- Security or compliance review required before launch has not been scoped
- Performance under production load untested
- Key technical knowledge held by one person (single point of failure)
Resource & People
- Key SME or engineer leaving or unavailable during critical phase
- Budget not confirmed for Phase 2 of the project
- Stakeholder sponsor changes role or leaves the organisation
- Team not yet at full capacity (hiring lag, access issues, onboarding time)
Commercial & Financial
- Vendor or partner contract not yet signed
- Cost estimate based on assumptions that have not been validated
- Revenue or savings case depends on assumptions outside the team's control
- Currency exposure or exchange rate risk for international projects
Compliance & Regulatory
- Data privacy impact assessment (DPIA) not yet complete
- Regulatory approval required and timeline is uncertain
- GDPR, HIPAA, SOC 2, or sector-specific compliance requirement not yet mapped
- Legal review of terms of service or contracts pending
Stakeholder & Adoption
- Key user group has low awareness or motivation to adopt the change
- Internal resistance from a team that will be affected by the change
- Executive sponsor not consistently engaged — decisions are slow
- Communications plan not yet agreed with change management team
External
- Market or competitive change could undermine the business case
- Macroeconomic conditions affect budget or priority
- Supplier or infrastructure provider risk (e.g. cloud provider, hardware)
- Geopolitical or regulatory environment change
4. Risk Heat Map
Plot risks by likelihood (Y axis) and impact (X axis):
│ Low Medium High Critical
│ (1) (2-3) (4) (5)
─────────┼────────────────────────────────────
Almost │ 🟡 🟡 🔴 🔴
certain │
(5) │
─────────┼────────────────────────────────────
Likely │ 🟡 🟡 🔴 🔴
(4) │
─────────┼────────────────────────────────────
Possible │ 🟢 🟡 🟡 🔴
(3) │
─────────┼────────────────────────────────────
Unlikely │ 🟢 🟢 🟡 🟡
(2) │
─────────┼────────────────────────────────────
Rare │ 🟢 🟢 🟢 🟡
(1) │
[Plot each risk ID on this grid — e.g. R01 lands at L4/I5 = 🔴 Critical]
5. Top Risks — Executive Summary
For steering committee or board-level reporting:
| Rank |
Risk |
Score |
RAG |
Owner |
Mitigation status |
| 1 |
[Most critical risk — plain English description] |
[X] |
🔴 |
[Owner] |
[Active / Planned / Not started] |
| 2 |
[...] |
[...] |
🔴 |
[...] |
[...] |
| 3 |
[...] |
[...] |
🟡 |
[...] |
[...] |
| 4 |
[...] |
[...] |
🟡 |
[...] |
[...] |
| 5 |
[...] |
[...] |
🟡 |
[...] |
[...] |
Decisions required from steering:
- [Any risk that requires budget, scope, or timeline decision to mitigate]
6. Risk Changes Since Last Review
| Risk ID |
Change |
Detail |
| [R03] |
Score increased |
[L moved from 2 → 4 — vendor confirmed delay in API availability] |
| [R07] |
Risk closed |
[Legal sign-off received on 12 May] |
| [NEW] |
New risk identified |
[R09 — budget freeze announcement affects Phase 2 funding] |
7. Risk Closure Criteria
A risk is closed when:
- The risk event can no longer occur (e.g. milestone passed, contract signed), OR
- The residual risk score drops to Negligible (1–3) AND the team formally accepts it, OR
- The risk has materialised and transitioned to an issue (tracked separately)
Issues log: [Link to issues log — risks that have materialised and are now active problems being managed]
Quality Checks
Example Trigger Phrases
- "Build a risk register for our product launch"
- "Create a risk matrix for [project name]"
- "What risks should I document for a data migration project?"
- "Generate a risk register for our steering committee"
- "Help me identify and score risks for our Q3 delivery plan"
Anti-Patterns